Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85Yes01234567890123456789%No01234567890123456789%GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGJan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?20Yes01234567890123456789%No01234567890123456789%GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGJan 1, 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97Yes01234567890123456789%No0123456789%GEOPOLITICSJan 1, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93Yes01234567890123456789%No0123456789%GEOPOLITICSJan 1, 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?November 3001234567890123456789%Yes.No.October 3101234567890123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGNov 1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?3Yes0123456789%No01234567890123456789%GEOPOLITICSNov 1
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?October 101234567890123456789%Yes.No.October 1201234567890123456789%Yes.No.✦NEWGEOPOLITICSNov 1
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?92Yes01234567890123456789%No0123456789%GEOPOLITICSJan 1, 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 701234567890123456789%Yes.No.October 1501234567890123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGOct 8
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?17Yes01234567890123456789%No01234567890123456789%✦NEWGEOPOLITICSTRENDINGNov 1
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms01234567890123456789%Yes.No.Save the Children0123456789%Yes.No.CULTUREGEOPOLITICSApr 1, 2027
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?95Yes01234567890123456789%No0123456789%GEOPOLITICSNov 1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?3Yes0123456789%No01234567890123456789%GEOPOLITICSNov 1
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?October 201234567890123456789%Yes.No.October 401234567890123456789%Yes.No.✦NEWGEOPOLITICSOct 13
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?11Yes01234567890123456789%No01234567890123456789%GEOPOLITICSJul 1, 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?December 3101234567890123456789%Yes.No.November 300123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGJan 1, 2027
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?December 3101234567890123456789%Yes.No.October 310123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGJan 1, 2027
US strike on Cuba by December 31?86Yes01234567890123456789%No01234567890123456789%GEOPOLITICSJan 1, 2027
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?October 3101234567890123456789%Yes.No.October 1501234567890123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGNov 1
Iran leadership change by...?June 30, 202701234567890123456789%Yes.No.December 3101234567890123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSJul 1, 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?December 3101234567890123456789%Yes.No.October 3101234567890123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSTRENDINGNov 1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?2Yes0123456789%No01234567890123456789%GEOPOLITICSNov 1
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro01234567890123456789%Yes.No.Frank Donovan0123456789%Yes.No.GEOPOLITICSJan 1, 2027